Climate of Karelia
The initial data used in the analysis were the materials of long-term
observations at the stations and posts of the North-western territorial
department of hydrometeorology and environmental monitoring, State Hydrological
Institute, National Department of water resources and environment and
Meteorological Institute (Finland), governmental reports on Karelian
environment. The data gathered for over 100 years allowed to study the progress
of the climate and discharge characteristics within the century not only for
individual locations and catchment areas but for the Karelian territory at
large.
The climate maps published earlier have largely grown out-of-date. Therefore,
Northern Water Problems Institute of Karelian Research Centre of Russian
Academy of Sciences prepared a new, more representative schematic climate map.
The initial materials used to calculate mean multiannual air temperatures (for
a year, in January and July) were the series of mean monthly air temperatures
from 32 weather stations in Karelia over no less than 30 years. This was
usually the period from 1936 to 1990. During World War II observations were
carried out only at 5 stations. Also used were the observations started in the
1950's and reduced to the main time series. Data on the stated observation
posts were marked on the map and the corresponding isometric lines of the
surface air temperature were drawn. The map gives also the absolute maximum and
minimum air temperature values from the beginning of the observations to 1990.
E.g., instrumental observations at the Petrozavodsk stations began in 1815.
Data of observations over precipitation amounts (mm) at 32 stations and 63
posts were used to calculate mean multiannual total precipitation. As in the
case with air temperature 1936 was chosen as the year to start.
The variability of the main water balance elements (precipitation, river
discharge), recurrence of the western type of circulation (Wangenheim) and mean
air temperature in the decades in the period from 1880 to 1994 in Karelia were
calculated. Moving averaging was used to reduce high-frequency "noise" and more
clearly identify slow changes. Analysis of the data on the temperature
indicates the presence of a positive trend with the 0.40C air
temperature growth in the 115-year period. This value well corresponds to the
estimates of the surface temperature changes in the Northern hemisphere, which
show the upward trend of 0.50C in 100 years. The mean annual air
temperature trend within the century in Karelia at large was not monotonously
growing: a very warm decade in the 1930's was followed by the cold period of
1965-1970 with further growth of mean annual air temperatures by the late
1980's. Detailed analysis of seasonal temperatures recorded at the Olonets,
Petrozavodsk and Louhi weather stations during instrumental observations showed
that the autumn and winter seasons grew colder in the second half of the XX
century, but positive trends in the spring and summer temperature series
resulted in the overall increase of mean annual air temperatures. Spring and
summer in Karelia are about 2-30C colder, and the mean annual air
temperature is 1-20C lower. Besides, summer temperatures in Karelia
are more stable. A
notable positive trend (118 mm in 100 years) was recorded also in the total
annual precipitation series which is mainly the consequence of longer periods
with the western air transport during the year in Karelia. It should be kept in
mind however that the absolute value of annual precipitation increment includes
also the method error due to incomplete recording of precipitation in the
observation network in the end of the last century and up to the 1930's.
Therefore, it can only be stated for sure that total annual precipitation in
Karelia has increased during this century. Generally, increase in precipitation
and annual air temperature result in higher total evaporation from the
territory. Total river discharge in Karelia shows a slight upward trend (13 mm
in 100 years).
Changes in the water level and water balance elements in the largest
European lakes can be considered as integral parameters of the effect of the
climate change and anthropogenic factors on the hydrological characteristics of
their drainage areas.
The results obtained do not allow to definitely state that changes in the
lake level and water balance elements depend on man-induced climate changes
caused by the "green-house" effect. Present day values of the lake levels were
recorded in the past and are the result of natural climate fluctuations rather
than its anthropogenic changes.
The results indicate that the climate and total water content in Karelian
territory are subject to considerable natural fluctuations with the changes
caused by anthropogenic factors superimposed on them.
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